By Johnny
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a number issued daily by the London-based Baltic Exchange. The index provides “an assessment of the price of moving the major raw materials by sea. Taking in 26 shipping routes measured on a time charter and voyage basis”. (Cited in Wikipedia)
According to Andrew Leonard, if the BDI index goes up, it is considered a sign that global demand for commodities like iron and steel and coal and grain is strong, and thus, by correlation, the global economy is healthy.
However, as slowing economic growth cut demand for raw materials such as coal and iron ore, the Baltic Dry index has fallen continuously in the second half 2008.
The most significant events make a long list:
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11 December 2008 — after a small rise in the Baltic Dry Index (one percent), share prices of major Asian dry bulk shipping firms have seen increases. However S Hajara, The Shipping Corporation of India’s chief, believes conditions in the dry bulk market as still being ‘grim’. (Shipping Times)
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9 December 2008 — Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) has laid up several bulk carriers after the sharp drop in Baltic Dry Index. (Business Line)
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5 December 2008 — the Baltic Dry Index sank 3.9% to 663 points in a week, hit its lowest level since January 1987. It plummeted 94% from its high of 11,793 in May. (Asia Maritime News)
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29 – 22 October 2008 — The daily rental rates for capesize big ships have dropped $234,000 to $7,340 in a week. Empty ships are now crowding Singapore and other global ports. (The Daily Telegraph)
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3 July 2008 — As buyers sit on their hands, coal prices have plunged by over $20 a ton. The Daily Telegraph says it “signals the start of a serious correction in coal, iron ore, and grain demand”. (The Daily Telegraph)
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21 May 2008 — The Baltic Dry Index reached its record high level of 11,793 since its introduction in 1998. Forbes.com believes, Chinese earthquake, steel demand pushes ocean freight rates skyward. (Purchasing)


